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WHY DID GABON FEEL THE NEED TO FUDGE ITS DEMOGRAPHIC NUMBERS ? POURQUOI LE GABON A-T-IL RESSENTI LE BESOIN D’AUGMENTER SES CHIFFRES DÉMOGRAPHIQUES ?
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English version Gabon’s new census (RGPL 2026), validated by the Constitutional Court in late August 2026, set the population at 3,518,621 inhabitants, a 94% increase over 13 years compared to the 2013 census figure of 1,811,079. A growth rate of 94% over a fixed time of 13 years is unheard of; here’s why: At the world’s current average growth rate (~0.9%/year), doubling and near-doubling take a long time: a 94% growth would take roughly 74 years at that rate. At the fastest sustained national growth rates ever recorded in the entire world (3.5–3.9%/year, seen in a handful of countries like Niger or Chad, driven by very high fertility), 94% growth would take about 18–20 years. At the peak of global population growth (the 1960s–70s, when the world grew around 2.1%/year), it would take about 32 years to grow by 94%. So where does Gabon’s claimed jump land? It went from 1,811,079 to 3,518,621 in 13 (2013 to 2026). Working backward, that implies a sustained annual growth rate of...
WHY DID GABON INCREASE ITS POPULATION ON THE EVE OF ITS NEGOTIATIONS WITH THE IMF? POURQUOI LE GABON A AUGMENTÉ SA POPULATION À LA VEILLE DE SES NÉGOCIATIONS AVEC LE FMI ?
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